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The S&P 500 Futures Are Near Two-month Highs Following a Strong Rally

November 16, 2023
minute read

U.S. stocks experienced a slight decline on Thursday, signaling a slowdown in the November rally that had propelled major indexes to their highest points in two months.

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Here's how the stocks are performing:

  • The S&P 500 dropped 7 points, or 0.2%, to 4,496.
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 90 points, or 0.3%, to 34,902.
  • The Nasdaq Composite declined by 45 points, or 0.3%, to 14,058.

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The previous day witnessed the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising by 164 points (0.47%) to 34,991, the S&P 500 gaining 7 points (0.16%) to 4,503, and the Nasdaq Composite increasing by 9 points (0.07%) to 14,104.

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Market Dynamics:U.S. stocks took a pause on Thursday after a rally that had lifted the Nasdaq by almost 10% since the start of November, enabling both the tech-heavy index and the S&P 500 to move out of correction territory.

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Throughout the month, a widespread rally boosted neglected segments of the market, such as the small-cap Russell 2000 index, driven by optimism that the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates as early as March.

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JJ Kinahan, CEO of IG North America, noted that the market was overdue for a downturn after the S&P 500 had risen in 11 of the past 13 sessions until Wednesday. He mentioned that the pause was a result of a break from the intense buying activity witnessed over the previous week.

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Mark Newton, Head of Technical Strategy at Fundstrat, acknowledged the positive development of a broader range of shares participating in the rally this month, not solely led by major tech stocks. However, he cautioned that stocks appear overbought based on certain indicators, suggesting a less favorable risk/reward scenario for U.S. equities following any further rally into the next week.

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Factors Impacting Markets:Recent indications of cooling inflation, increased layoffs, and a slowdown in job creation have solidified expectations that the Fed's last interest-rate hike occurred in July. This shift in monetary policy, coupled with falling Treasury yields, has contributed to the stock market's gains in November after three consecutive months of declines.

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The 10-year Treasury yield was trading at 4.45%, down 9.9 basis points on Thursday, continuing its decline from the 16-year high reached the previous month.

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Weekly jobless-claims data revealed an increase to a three-month high, signaling a cooling labor market. Despite two positive inflation reports earlier in the week, concerns about the fragility of the market surfaced with Cisco Systems' disappointing results causing a significant drop in its stock after hours on Wednesday.

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Earnings reports from companies like Walmart, Macy's, and Williams-Sonoma provided mixed signals about the state of the U.S. consumer. Walmart's CEO warned about a potential period of deflation in the coming months. Additionally, economic reports from the Philadelphia Fed and industrial production indicated modest improvements and unexpected declines, respectively.

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Bryan Curtis
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Eric Ng
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John Liu
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Bryan Curtis
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