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The S&P 500 Futures Market Pauses After Another Record-Breaking Session

March 4, 2024
minute read

Monday saw a slight dip in U.S. stocks, interrupting a rally that had seen the S&P 500 achieve its 16th winning week out of the last 18. Investors are currently on standby for a significant week that includes congressional testimony from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and the release of crucial jobs data.

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) experienced a decline of 121 points, equivalent to 0.3%, settling at 38,966. The S&P 500 (SPX) was down by 5 points or 0.1%, closing at 5,132. The Nasdaq Composite (COMP) faced a loss of 35 points, or 0.2%, trading at 16,240. Last week, the S&P 500 recorded a 1% increase and has accumulated a 7.7% gain in the current year, achieving its 15th record finish of 2024 on Friday. Similarly, the Nasdaq returned to record territory, securing its second consecutive all-time high finish last week.

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The upcoming week promises a series of significant events that could impact the ongoing market rally. Powell is scheduled for a two-day congressional testimony on Capitol Hill, coinciding with the release of the nonfarm payrolls report on Friday.

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In the quest for an eighth-straight week of all-time highs for the S&P 500, investors eagerly await Powell's comments on rate cuts during his congressional testimony. Chris Larkin, managing director for trading and investing at E-Trade from Morgan Stanley, emphasized the importance of encouraging words from Powell and the avoidance of major surprises from the upcoming jobs data.

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Larkin noted, "The Fed has said it doesn’t need to see a significantly weaker labor market to cut rates, but if the numbers come in too hot, it could renew concerns about delays, at least temporarily."

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Bank of America joined other Wall Street firms in raising its price target, envisioning a year-end level of 5,400 for the S&P 500. However, the increase was accompanied by a cautionary note, suggesting a high likelihood of a near-term pullback.

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Beyond the surge in U.S. stocks, other markets also experienced notable movements. Bitcoin (BTCUSD) surpassed $65,000, marking a substantial increase. The Nikkei 225 (JP:NIK) soared past 40,000, reflecting strong performance in the Japanese market. Meanwhile, gold (GC00) saw a slight decline after reaching a record high on Friday. The dynamics across various markets add layers of complexity to the overall financial landscape, contributing to the ongoing volatility and attention from investors worldwide.

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Bryan Curtis
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